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$2.4M Saved Annually Through AI Demand Forecasting

Transforming Supply Chain Planning with Intelligent Inventory Forecasting

Client Overview

A large US distribution and logistics company partnered with Prakash Software Solutions (PSSPL) to modernize inventory planning across its multi-site distribution network.

The company manages more than 4,000 SKUs across several distribution centers, serving customers whose demand patterns vary widely by region. As the business grew, inventory became harder to control: some centers held months of excess stock while others ran short repeatedly, triggering emergency orders and delayed deliveries.

Forecasting and replenishment relied on spreadsheets, historical assumptions, and manual decisions. That approach worked when operations were smaller, but it could not keep pace with a growing, increasingly complex supply chain.

The client needed a forecasting approach that gave clearer visibility into inventory movement and supported faster, more accurate replenishment.

Industry

Distribution & Logistics

Function

Supply Chain Planning

Location

United States

Project Duration

14 Weeks

Services Provided

Technologies Used

Forecasting & AI Models

XGBoost, Facebook Prophet, ARIMA

Data Processing

Python, Pandas

Cloud Infrastructure

Microsoft Azure, Azure SQL

Data Integration

Azure Data Factory, Dynamics 365 APIs

Reporting & Analytics

Power BI

Frontend Development

React-based Planning Dashboard

The Challenge

Inventory management through several distribution centers was the biggest challenge facing the organization. The demand for different products varied according to location-specific tastes, habits, promotional strategies, and climatic conditions. In fact, at times one distribution center would be overloaded with inventories of a particular product while the other lacked the same product.

This manual method depended a lot on the skills of the buying department and operated reactively, addressing problems after they happened instead of trying to solve them in advance.

Some of the major challenges included:

The company needed a process that combined inventory trends, supply chain activity, market signals, and site-level inventory movement into proactive, well-informed decisions.

โ€œThe hardest part of this project was balancing orders across locations without over-ordering or running short. The forecasting models had to reflect the companyโ€™s day-to-day operations โ€” not just historical sales patterns. We worked closely with logistics planning and operations managers throughout, so the recommendations were practical, easy to understand, and genuinely reduced excess inventory costs.โ€

Manish Langa

AI Practice Head, PSSPL

How PSSPL Helped

A solution for smart demand forecast and replenishment was developed taking into account the actual processes of the clientโ€™s business and logistics.

The algorithm was based on sales history for three years, current inventory levels, lead times from the supplier, demand trends, promotion plans, and external demand indicators to provide replenishment recommendations for SKUs.

It was supposed that the solution would work within the Microsoft Dynamics 365 environment of the client, not involving any modifications to the architecture or ERP system.

Outcome: The solution allowed avoiding unnecessary expenses, balancing the inventory better, and increasing the level of trust in the supply chain staff.

Key Intelligent Document Processing Capabilities

Feature

Description

Multi-Site Demand Forecasting

Generated location-specific demand predictions across multiple forecasting horizons

Dynamic Safety Stock Optimization

Calculated inventory buffers using real-time demand variability and supplier performance

Cross-Location Inventory Visibility

Identified opportunities to transfer stock between facilities before placing supplier orders

Automated Replenishment Recommendations

Delivered daily inventory planning recommendations for buyers and planners

Exception-Based Alerts

Flagged shortages, demand spikes, and inventory risks proactively

Buyer Review & Approval

Allowed planners to review and adjust recommendations before execution

Forecast Accuracy Monitoring

Continuously improved forecasting performance using operational feedback

Implementation Journey

We delivered the solution in four phases, each designed to reduce manual effort, fit the clientโ€™s existing systems, and build the teamโ€™s confidence in the recommendations.

Discovery & Supply Chain Assessment

To better understand the replenishment process, we reviewed the replenishment processes, analyzed suppliers’ performance and inventory challenges, and studied the demand patterns across various regions along with the historical operational data to identify issues.

Forecasting Model Development

The model for predicting stock requirements was developed using ensemble learning approaches that included a mixture of machine learning and traditional statistical forecasting.

ERP Integration & Workflow Automation

The entire solution was developed in the clientโ€™s ERP environment of Dynamics 365 and integrated with its reporting and replenishment process.

Testing & Optimization

Tests were conducted using the actual and historical data available for all the distribution centers.

Key Outcomes

$2.4M Annual Cost Savings

Validated by the clientโ€™s finance team โ€” driven by reduced overstock, fewer emergency orders, and more efficient inventory management.

34% Reduction in Overstock Inventory

More accurate forecasting cut excess and slow-moving stock across all distribution centers.

61% Fewer Emergency Orders

Better replenishment visibility sharply reduced urgent supplier orders and expedited freight costs.

98.2% Product Availability Rate

Availability improved without increasing overall inventory levels.

4,000+ SKUs Managed Efficiently

Daily inventory planning across thousands of products, with no reliance on spreadsheets.

Transforming Supply Chain Planning with AI

This case study shows how effective demand forecasting helps distributors improve inventory planning without disrupting existing processes and systems. Rather than replacing the people who manage the supply chain, the system was built to support them.

As the solution matures, future phases will focus on supplier performance intelligence, automated demand sensing, and customer-driven replenishment forecasting.

Letโ€™s build supply chain solutions that are scalable, data-driven, and engineered for operational efficiency. Contact us today.

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